The Opta SuperComputer continues to back Arsenal to clinch the 2025/2026 Premier League title, even after their narrow 3-2 loss to Manchester United on Sunday raised fresh questions about the title race.
That defeat saw Matheus Cunha bring the Gunners’ impressive unbeaten home run to an end with a sensational effort from outside the penalty area.
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The setback also allowed the chasing pack to close the gap, as Mikel Arteta’s side saw their advantage at the summit reduced to just four points following weekend victories for both Manchester City and Aston Villa. ..[read more]
Despite that, Opta still rates Arsenal as overwhelming favourites to lift the trophy and end their long wait for a league title, which has stretched beyond two decades.
According to the model, the North London club have an 84.44% chance of finishing top of the table, while City are given an 8.38% probability of claiming first place.
Aston Villa are also considered outsiders in the race, with a 7.09% chance, while Liverpool’s hopes are rated at less than 1%.
With 15 league matches still remaining in the 2025/2026 campaign, there is time for further twists, but the numbers remain firmly in Arsenal’s favour.
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